Election is not over. Senate hangs in the balance.

In one of my later posts I gave my analysis of how it didn't appear that the Democrats would have a Supermajority in the Senate. Well it seems like that likely hood is becoming more of a possibility.

The recount in Alaska has now pushed Stevens winning margin into a losing one.
"Begich, who was losing after election night, now leads Stevens by 814 votes — 132,196 to 131,382 — with the state still to count roughly 40,000 more ballots over the next week."
It looks as though the Democrats could win Alaska which would put them at 58 seats, just 2 shy of a Supermajority.

In Minnesota Al Franken is holding strong for a full recount of the votes.
"Sen. Norm Coleman, the one-term incumbent Republican, has a 209-vote lead over his Democratic challenger Al Franken, a former comedian, well within the half-of-one-percent margin to trigger an automatic recount.

In a 2006 recount practice run in Minnesota is any indication, a hand recount could alter the numbers substantially. In that race, auditors reviewed votes in about 5 percent of the state’s 4,123 precincts. Among 94,073 votes cast in the U.S. Senate race in those precincts, the audit found 53 discrepancies, an error rate of .00056 percent.

Applying those same totals to the 2,885,502 votes cast in this year’s race and you get a potential error total of roughly 1,626 votes."
Franken might pull this one off also. This would make the Dems 1 seat shy of the supermajority.

Chambliss the Republican in Georgia had more votes than his Democratic contender but was .2% shy of 50% of the vote which by Georgia Law states that if a candidates doesn't get 50% of the vote there is a run-off elections between the top two contenders. Georgia is holding another election on Dec. 2nd to determine the winner. There was only a 3% difference between the two so the third party votes could help the Democrat win if he gets all of them.
With this one that would give the Democrats a 60 seat supermajority in the Senate therefore being filibuster immune. This would eliminate compromise and the ability for Republicans to get their views into any legislation.

What is the probability of them getting all three seats? Not very good but it could happen, especially if there is foul play.

Here is an article on this story and a video clip.